Jersey's population is projected to drop to 96,460 by 2080, according to a recent report. This projection includes the size of various age groups, such as children under 16 and older adults aged 65 and over. The report highlights a concerning trend: regardless of net migration scenarios, the number of people under 16 is expected to decline from 2024 levels. This shift will result in fewer residents born in Jersey entering the working-age population over time. In contrast, the population of people aged 65 and over is projected to increase under all net migration scenarios from 2024 to 2050. The report's analysis of the dependent population ratio is crucial for planning future public services. Statistics Jersey predicts that the ratio of non-working-age people to those of working age will rise from 52.4 in 2024 to 77.3 by 2080, assuming a 400 increase in net migration.
